Математики подсчитали, что примерно четверть бюллетеней на этих выборах могли быть вброшены

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Реальная явка россиян на выборах, согласно анализу редакции «Слона», могла составить 37% против объявленных 47%.

И если даже официальная цифра, озвученная ЦИКом, шокирует: больше половины россиян не сочли нужным выразить свое мнение и воспользоваться правом поучаствовать в политической жизни страны, то откуда же взялась еще и сокрушительная разница в 10%? Вопрос риторический, а ответ на него понятен и без лишних комментариев.

Математики по заказу журналистов графически обозначили зависимость между числом граждан, проголосовавших на разных участках нашей страны, и числом голосов, поданных на этих участках за 7 наиболее заметных партий: ЕР, КПРФ, ЛДПР, СР, Яблоко, Парнас и Коммунистов России. Оказалось, что чем выше была явка на участке, тем больший отрыв был между единороссами и другими кандидатами. Как будто после преодоления какого-то порога явки все избиратели голосовали только «Единую Россию». Это не вяжется не только с математическими законами, но и со здравым смыслом. Вполне резонно будет предположить, что бюллетени, выбивающиеся из гауссовского распределения, были опущены в урны не реальными гражданами, а нарушителями закона.

При отсутствии фальсификаций результат правящей партии не смог бы превысить 40%.

Нормальное (гауссовское) распределение предполагает максимальные значения исследуемого параметра в середине и плавное уменьшение и сведение к нулю в начале и в конце шкалы, то есть классическую форму холма. Как видно на графиках, кривая, показывающая число голосов за «Единую Россию», не соответствует виду нормального распределения. Так что, вероятнее всего, мы с вами видим графическое отражение фальсификаций на избирательных участках.

Видео, которых множество в сети, подтверждают, что 18 сентября 2016 года работниками УИКов и посторонними людьми вбрасывались пачки бланков. Хотя вбросы наверняка проходили на участках с сильными оппозиционными конкурентами и могли стать фактором перевеса, кто-то скажет, что от сотни листов ситуация кардинально не изменилась. Однако заметный отрыв и нереальная форма кривой единороссов указывают на то, что на некоторых участках была далеко не сотня бланков.

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